- Kentucky Derby Future Pool 3 2019
- Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 2 2019
- 2019 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 4
The horses are all in Louisville. The draw has been made, and the morning line is set. Now all we can do is wait until post time of the Kentucky Derby on Saturday. In the meantime, we can start to think about how to bet on the race and how to make sense of what is a very deep and wide-open race.
One good exercise to do at this point in the week is to look at who the best bet is based on the morning line odds. This isn't necessarily the most likely winner, but the horse that best offers value in their price. Last year, for example, I was very confident that Justify was the top pick, that he was most likely to win, and that he would be my strong choice in the race. But when I did this exercise looking for the best bet on the Kentucky Derby, he was the first horse I ruled out. He was a 2/1 at the time, and though his price climbed nicely to almost 3/1 by post time, it was hard to embrace a price that low in a 20-horse field for a colt who had run only three times. He was a freak, but not a value-packed one.
- The 2019 Kentucky Derby will take place on Saturday. See the latest odds here.
- Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 - Nov. Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 - Nov. New to Horse Racing?
The best bet in my eyes, in terms of value, was Good Magic at 8/1 at the time. He wound up second at almost 10/1, completing a very nice exacta - at least considering that the horse that won was everyone's pick. So, which horse stands out as the best bet this year? It's a tough question:
How to bet on the 2020 Kentucky Derby online. Our betting guide provides odds, betting strategy top horse racing sites to wager online. With less than three months to go until the May 2 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs, Nadal and Tiz the Law look to be among the early favorites.
It's not:
Omaha Beach (4/1): The colt is predictably and deservedly the favorite, having won three straight, including two in a row under Mike Smith. And the fact that Smith chose this ride over that of Santa Anita Derby winner Roadster - trained by Smith's Triple Crown partner and Triple Crown race savant Bob Baffert - is a major endorsement. But in a race as wide-open as this one , I would have to be opposed to any favorite at this kind of price regardless of who it was. The colt drew the 12 hole, which isn't necessarily ideal and hasn't produced a lot of winners. He doesn't have any clear early speed outside of him, so the trip is likely to be better than it could be, but he still has a lot of ground to cover early on. And he has made only two stakes starts, and both have come on the same Oaklawn Park track, so he isn't hugely proven. I like the colt, and I respect his chances, but there is no value in this price.
Game Winner (5/1): I am a huge Bob Baffert guy, so all three of his horses are going to figure prominently into my selections and bets. But while both American Pharoah and Nyquist, in 2015 and 2016, respectively, won the Derby after claiming Two-Year-Old Champion honors, that has not been the trend for this award. More often, winners have been good at three, but not as good as they were. And so far, that has been the case for Game Winner . He has looked good in both of his races, and he has certainly not embarrassed himself in any way, but he also hasn't won either race, and he has been edged in both cases by horses he is facing again here. He's also a horse that would be best set up by a fairly aggressive early pace, and I'm not certain that is going to happen here . I really like the horse, and I will bet him, but the value isn't here at this price.
Roadster (6/1): He's the top Baffert horse in my eyes, and I will be all over him. But the biggest thing he has going against him is that the 17 hole has never produced a winner of this race. He doesn't need to be near the lead, and that certainly helps him, but the draw didn't do anything to add to his value.
Best bet:
Tacitus (10/1): In the love affair with Omaha Beach and the three Baffert horses - attention they all deserve - Tacitus has been a relatively forgotten horse. In different circumstances he would get a lot more love - and he would earn it. He has been nothing but professional in two stakes wins against pretty strong fields. Jose Ortiz, among the best riders out there right now, chose this colt among several options, including Improbable. He is bred to run forever. He doesn't need the lead or anything close to it and isn't particularly dependent on pace to set up his race. He breaks from the eight hole, which is a pretty good spot to be in this race. The connections are strong beyond Ortiz - trainer Bill Mott is a master, and owner and breeder Juddmonte Farms have been named the nation's top owner four times and top breeder five times. If this colt goes off anywhere near this price - and there is a good chance he'll rise above it by post time - then there is definite value here. He may not be as likely a winner as Omaha Beach, but if you think his chances of winning are 2.5 times worse - as the odds suggest - then you are watching something different than I am.
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Read more articles by Trevor Whenham
The 2021 running of the Kentucky Derby takes place on the first Saturday of September and follows the Kentucky Oaks race which is always held the day before. The Derby, as it’s known to many, gained the nickname of the Run for the Roses due to the longstanding tradition of the winning jockey and horse being awarded a blanket of roses following their victory.
The race dates to 1875 with a field made up of three-year-old thoroughbreds including Stallions and Fillies, that have qualified by racing and winning in the “Road to the Kentucky Derby” qualifying races. It’s the longest continually held race weekend as neither the Oaks nor Derby have been missing since their inception.
While there are still traces to be run in order to officially set the field, we have a good idea of some of the horses that will be involved in the 2021 edition of the Kentucky Derby. Here are some of the favorites thus far.
Kentucky Derby Future Pool 3 2019
Tiz The Law comes into the race at +800 and is the early favorite according to some oddsmakers. The stallion finished the 2019 race season with a third-place finish and a first-place run at the 2019 Champagne Stakes.
Authentic is another early favorite coming in with an early number of +1400. Authentic opened eyes with an impressive win at the Sham Stakes at Santa Anita. That performance instantly made Authentic a horse to watch during the stretch run of the Road to the Derby as well as the running of the Kentucky Derby.
When is the Kentucky Derby 2021?
Kentucky Derby race day 2021 on Saturday, May 1
What time does the Kentucky Derby race tomorrow?
Gates open for the 2021 Kentucky Derby day early at 8:00 a.m. ET.
What time does the 2021 Kentucky Derby start?
Kentucky Derby will start at 10:30 a.m. ET on Saturday.
What time does the ultimate Kentucky Derby race actually begin?
The most exciting Kentuck Derby 2021 final race begins at 6:50 p.m. ET on Saturday.
What TV channel is for Run for the Roses 2021?
Watch Kentucky Derby 2021 live stream on NBC Sports TV channel.
Kentucky Derby Basics: The Most Exciting Two Minute of Racing 2021 Information here below;
Kentucky Derby Basics:
- Churchill Downs / Louisville, Kentucky, U.S.A
- Start Time: Run for the roses is scheduled for 6:34 p.m. ET
- Track: dirt / one mile
- Race type: Thoroughbred
- Derby race length: 1 1/4 miles
- Track: Left-handed
- Weight/Jockey: Colt/Gelding 126 pounds. Filly 121 pounds
- First run: 1875
- Record: 1: 59 2⁄5 secs, (Secretariat 1973)
- Total Purse: 3 million
- First: $1,860,000
- TV coverage: NBC Sports
- Live Stream: nbcsports.com
Race duration: Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports
Kentucky Derby Early Odds List (not full field)
Tiz The Law +800
Authentic +1400
Dennis Moment +1600
Nadal +1600
Thousand Words +1800
Independence Hall +2000
Maxfield +2000
Anneau Dor +2500
Eight Rings +2500
Storm the Court +2500
Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 2 2019
Basin +3300
2019 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 4
Odds are subject to change as race day and gate time nears. The field is limited to 20 horses.